Electoral sentiments of voters on the eve of the election to the Verkhovna Rada 2014

23.10.2014

On 12-21 October 2014, Gorshenin Institute conducted the all-Ukrainian survey "Electoral sentiments of voters on the eve of the election to the Verkhovna Rada 2014".

IN YOUR OPINION HAS IT BECOME POSSIBLE TO ACIEVE PEACE IN UKRAINE THANKS TO THE SIGNATURE OF THE MINSK AGREEMENTS, THE ADOPTION OF THE LAWS ON THE SPECIAL ORDER OF LOCAL GOVERNANCE IN SEPARATE AREAS OF THE DONBASS AND ON THE AMNESTY OF MEMBERS OF ILLEGAL ARMED UNITS?

  • Yes – 20,7%
  • No – 65,1%
  • Difficult to answer – 14,3%

IN YOUR OPINION, HOW LIKELY IS AN EXTENSION OF THE CONFLICT ZONE AND OCCUPATION TO THE OTHER REGIONS OF UKRAINE?

  • Very likely – 18,9%
  • Somewhat likely – 35,3%
  •  Somewhat unlikely – 24,7%
  • Not likely at all – 7,1%
  • Difficult to answer – 14,1%

IF THE CONDITION FOR PEACE IS TRANSFER OF CRIMEA AND DONBASS TO RUSSIA, SHOULD THE STRUGGLE TO GET THESE TERRITORIES BACK CONTINUE, OR IT IS BETTER TO REST CONTENT WITH PEACE?

  • Yes, struggle should continue – 54,4%
  • No, it is not worth struggling for – 24,6%
  • Difficult to answer – 21,1%

WHAT IS THE DIRECTION THAT UKRAINE SHOULD TAKE IN YOUR OPINION: TOWARDS THE EUROPEAN UNION OR THE EURASIAN UNION?

  • European Union – 63,6%
  • Eurasian Union (with Russia, Belarus and Kazakhstan) – 13,8%
  • Other – 14,6%
  • Don’t know/do not want to answer – 8,1%

HOW WOULD YOU VOTE IN A REFERENDUM ON JOINING NATO IF IT WERE HELD NEXT SUNDAY?

  • For NATO accession – 53,4%
  • Against NATO accession – 33,6%
  • Would not vote – 5,6%
  • Don’t know/do not want to answer – 7,4%

IF THE NATIONAL ELECTIONS FOR THE VERKHOVNA RADA WERE HELD THIS SUNDAY, WHICH PARTY WOULD YOU VOTE FOR? (among those who are going to vote)

  • Block of Petro Poroshenko (V. Klichko, Y. Lutsenko, O. Bogomolets) – 24,2%
  • Batkivshchyna (N.Savchenko, Y. Tymoshenko, I. Lutsenko) – 10,4%
  • People’s Front (A. Yatseniuk, T. Chornovol, O. Turchynov) – 7,9%
  • Radical Party of Oleh Lyashko (O.Liashko, A. Lozovoy, S. Melnychuk) – 7,4%
  • Civil position + Democratic Alliance (A. Grytsenko, V. Gatsko, M. Solovyova) – 5,4%
  • Party Self-help (H. Hopko, S. Semenchenko, O. Skrypnyk) – 5,3%
  • Opposition Block (Y.Boyko, O.Vilkul, M. Dobkin) – 4,9%
  • Strong Ukraine (S. Tigipko, V. Khoroshkovsky, S. Fabrykant) – 4,0%
  • Svoboda (O. Tyagnybok, R. Koshulynsky, O. Sych) – 3,0%
  • Communist Party of Ukraine (P. Symonenko, A. Martyniuk, K. Samoylyk) – 2,1%
  • Pravyi Sector (A. Tarasenko, O. Bilozerska, O. Mikats) – 1,2%
  • Other – 1,7%
  • Undecided – 19,0%
  • Difficult to answer – 3,5%

RECENTLY SUCH A PHENOMENON HAS BEEN SPREADING IN UKRAINE AS THE “TRASH LUSTRATION”, WHERE PEOPLE PUT TO TRASH BINS POLITITIANS THAT THEY DISLIKE. WHAT IS YOUR PERSONAL ATTITUDE TOWARDS THAT?

  • Positive – 40,9%
  • Negative – 48,8%
  • Difficult to answer – 10,3%

ARE YOU READY TO JOIN THE THIRD MAYDAN IF YOU SEE THAT THE NEW POWER DOES NOT ACT, DOES NOT IMPLEMENT REFORMS AND DOES NOT KEEP TO ITS PROMISES?

  • Yes – 38,1%
  • No – 49,0%
  • Difficult to answer – 13,0%

The all-Ukrainian survey was conducted by the Gorshenin Institute on 12-21 October 2014. overall, according to the sample, taking into account all major social and demographic characteristics of the Ukrainian population, 2000 respondents have been interviewed representing the adult population of Ukraine starting from 18 years old (except for Crimea, Donetsk and Lugansk regions). The representation error of the survey would not exceed +/-2,2%.

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